"Is it immoral for pundits/bloggers/journalists to make forecasts about things in which they have no stake?"
It's been the position of Punditbook that forecasters (columnists, political analysts, economists...) must put some skin in the game. Money, reputation... something.
A weighted, odds-adjusted prediction history, summarized in metrics akin to sports stats (win %, slugging, recent streak) would be an illuminating tool.
@daveweigel: "Mark Pryor! Put me down for $50 RT @jenhab: At this point, who is going to be the last Sen Dem to support gay marriage?"
Poll shows Romney taking lead in Pennsylvania.
Santorum needed a win in Ohio, or at least Illinois or Wisconsin. He came close, but no cigar.
Much less fun now.
Scalise - 85 (whoever runs second)
Richmond -6 Cao
Dardenne -8 Fayard
Vitter -13 Melancon
Landry -23 Sangisetty
How many Constitutional Amendments FAIL? Over/Under is 2.5
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oyster's picks:
Scalise -85 over (2nd place candidate)
Cao +6 over Richmond
Dardenne -8 over Fayard
Vitter -13 over Melancon
Landry -23 over Sangisetty
3 Constitutional Amendments Fail
Former New Orleans IT chief Greg Meffert will plead guilty to conspiracy (to accept bribes and kickbacks) and one for filing false tax returns.
Opening over/under on length of sentence is 32 months.
